klsallee wrote:fluffy2560 wrote:klsallee wrote:....
Deal. Done. I will take those odds with 1HUF. If you win, you get 2 or 3 HUF (and 2x to 3x more bragging rights). If I win, I get only one.
Hang on, don't you want to change the odds?
Why would I want to change the odds suggested by another with a gentleman's bet? Doing so would be ungentlemanly.fluffy2560 wrote:You were pretty adamant it was case without merit or frivolous.
When I have full confidence in my opinion that I will win, I don't want to take advantage of others unfairly by exploiting the conditions to my advantage. Doing so would be ungentlemanly if not down right cruel.... Your comment seems to imply I am not a gentleman, but a huckster after a quick, narcissistic and profitable "win" in a zero sum game.... Please do not confuse me with people like the POTUS....
Besides, it is not like we are talking about real money here anyway. Simply, and mostly, web points. Kind of for fun. So no reason to "up the stakes"... because.... that would be silly.
Or just ignore odds and just bet thus: I say the case will be dismissed and never reach trial or a settlement phase. So if the case reaches trial (even if they loose in trial -- I am giving you a good benefit there, as I suspect even if it went to trial, they would loose, but being allowed to go to trial would mean some judges thought the case had merit, which means you had a point so you could call victory on that point), or if the parties settle, you win. No odds needed. Simple results oriented bet. So.... Still wanna bet and track this case?
Hmmm....well as I agree, there's no money as such to speak, then I would say it's interesting to negotiate the odds. So it's a negotiation. I think even gentlemen don't argue but negotiate akin to women perspiring. This is not pistols are dawn but could sounds a bit like escalating fighting talk. Including some quantitative odds, to summarise potential outcomes as I see it:
1) case dismissed as frivolous 30-40%
2) case to answer, goes to trial 50-60%
a) plantiffs win, plaintiffs lose 60%
b) plantiffs lose, defendants win 60%
3) out of court settlement for plantiffs/class action - 70%
I've seen discussion on up to $4K compensation per claim for anyone who has been unwillingly surveilled by Google and similar. Now, it's real money which makes it more interesting. Does the bet size influence your view of the odds?
Unfair exploitation when real world money involved. I don't think so, I think it's comeuppance.