Vicces1 wrote:The Imagine link is a treasure -- I had not seen that before. That guy is amazing.
Throughout history, one thing that Hungarians can agree on is that often Hungarians are their own worst enemy. This seems to be one of those times.
The current German plan is to halve Russian oil and coal imports by this summer, and severely curbing its dependence on Russian LNG by the middle of 2024. Germany just signed a deal with Qatar to lessen its dependence on Russian LNG.
It is stunning the risks being accepted and the pace of change taking place. I love your use of the term, "Mohacs moment". It seems quite apt.
Note: Before the war began on February 24, a third of Germany's oil imports, 45 percent of its coal purchases, and 55 percent of gas imports came from Russia.
Praise for Zelensky is reaching god-like levels. It's clear the guy is deeply talented in so many ways. Where he pulls the strength from, I do not know. The song and the delivery by him is so very apt at that moment.
Now that Germany has alternate supplies, they can move their reduction in dependence along faster. Their economy would take a hit if they cut back right now but it's soon summer so there's perhaps enough time for alternate network arrangements to evolve before the next winter for household use. Industrial gas use would be another matter.
I was looking at the pipeline maps in Europe. Hungary is not disconnected from the rest of the network. It could be getting supplies from other places. There's a very detailed technical map here (large PDF). The entire continent is riddled with gas pipelines, particularly from Italy towards Hungary. Superficially it seems like pipelines could push gas or oil in either direction. Looks like the LNG capacity is very much in short supply.
In retrospect, it seems to have been a rather large mistake to hook up with Putin. We should all have known this in the last crisis. Russia is going to be sidelined for many years. I cannot see anyone forgiving Russia any time soon - perhaps for generations. Their entire country will be curtailed. It will be a pariah state at least until Putin dies.