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COVID-19: When can we expect a return to normalcy?

expecting a return to normalcy
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Written byVeedushi Bon 13 July 2021

As of now, the long-awaited return to normalcy seems to be a utopia. In recent months, the rise of COVID-19 cases led to new restrictions and lockdowns in many countries. So it is clear that we are not likely to drop our masks anytime soon.

The promise for a return to normalcy was delayed in many countries while others, especially in Europe, have lifted their health restrictions and reopened their borders in order to kickstart their economic recovery. However, the spreading of the new Delta variant from Asia to Europe and worldwide came as a spoiler. England, for example, had to delay its return to normalcy from June to mid-July. So from next week, there's a hope that things will slowly get back to normal despite a recent rise in the number of COVID-19 cases. Obviously, the wearing of masks, hand sanitising and social distancing, etc., remain compulsory.

A slow and uncertain return to normalcy

According to a recent study by The Economist, it is still too early to say when we will get back to normalcy as things keep on changing every day. In many countries, health measures are being reintroduced quickly to protect their populations as much as possible. Australia, for example, recently made it clear that it will not reopen its borders before mid-2022, which was scheduled for earlier this year. Besides, Sydney went back into a lockdown following a new surge in the number of COVID-19 cases.

To date, very few countries have fully reopened. According to The Economist Normalcy Index, Hong Kong and New Zealand are the only two countries that stand out as the rest of the world keeps on struggling against the pandemic. Indeed, restrictions on certain activities such as sporting events, leisure activities such as cinemas, and the reopening of bars and restaurants at full capacity, have not been lifted yet. The report thus highlights the inability of vaccination campaigns to contain the virus, but without questioning the potential of vaccines to protect populations.

Indeed, many countries have already achieved herd immunity, still haven't been able to return to normalcy. Australia, Thailand and Chile, have been forced to impose new restrictions in recent weeks. It's worth noting that more than 77% of people aged over 12 have been immunised against COVID-19 in Chile, unlike Australia, where vaccination for children and teenagers should not be a priority before. 2022. Israel is one of the few countries that achieved herd immunity with a fast and efficient vaccination campaign and almost returned to normalcy, as in the pre-pandemic era.

Many other factors, such as the slow resumption of international flights, entry restrictions, including mandatory quarantine on arrival for travellers, etc., have also affected the long-awaited return to normalcy. Currently, according to The Economist's observations, only 30% of air traffic has resumed compared to the pre-pandemic level. Even though some countries are introducing incentives to attract tourists and other travellers to revive their various industries, many governments are still advising people to avoid non-essential travel. Local health restrictions are another major obstacle to normalcy. For example, certificate of vaccination against COVID-19 is required for access to many places while the anti-vaccine community keeps growing around the world. Besides, many places, such as gyms, restaurants, stadiums, and other activities, are only allowed to operate at a reduced 20% to 50% capacity.

In addition, the rise of remote working is playing a key role in the delayed return to normalcy. In many developed countries, such as the United States and Canada, most employees were given the remote work option since the early days of the pandemic. Europe and many countries in Asia followed the trend, but in African countries where the internet is often slow or nonexistent, remote working has never been an option. It's worth noting that more and more employers are currently offering the remote work option when hiring new employees. This is a significant obstacle to international mobility, but also to the return to normalcy as public transport, traffic, and everyday life in general, are slowed down.

A change of attitude is crucial

n some countries, particularly in Asia, national festivities earlier this year were a major cause of the new COVID-19 surges. In others, the lifting of restrictions and the reopening of borders have played a significant role, especially since research shows the development of new COVID-19 variants. However, the Delta variant seems to be the primary concern at the moment. Authorities are finding it hard to enforce the existing laws when people do not cooperate. For example, according to The Economist, only 5% of the global population has actually complied with lockdown and movement restrictions since the start of the pandemic. At present, 14% of the global population is still locked down following new waves. Most of the time, this is due to the lack of vigilance.

Currently, researchers are to prove the efficiency of COVID-19 vaccination. However, according to research published by Pasteur Institute on July 8, 2021, you have to get both jabs to be fully immunised against the Delta variant, considered to be the most dangerous for the moment. In the same report, the Pasteur Institute confirms a 92% efficiency of the AstraZeneca vaccine against severe forms of the disease and a 96% efficiency of the Pfizer vaccine, provided the person has got both jabs. Hence the importance of speeding up vaccination campaigns around the globe.

But in the meantime, until a change in mentality and more awareness regarding the COVID-19 vaccine, the wearing of masks, regular hand sanitising, and social distancing remain essential if we are looking to a return to normalcy in the future coming months.

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About

I hold a French diploma and worked as a journalist in Mauritius for six years. I have over a decade of experience as a bilingual web editor at Expat.com, including five years as an editorial assistant.

Comments

  • Guest
    Guest3 years ago(Modified)

    Hopium - the practice to sell obviously fake optimistic normalcy scenarios to anesthetizing the population while they get robbed of last freedoms and resources.

  • PalawanBob
    PalawanBob3 years ago(Modified)

    There is NO GOING BACK TO NORMAL ever again.

    For me, this means spending the rest of my life in the jungle.

    For almost all others, it will be '1984' for the rest of their lives... or pushing daisies.

    Don't believe it, eh?

    Wake up and smell the coffee!!!!!

    Globalists are about to make their next BIG MOVE this autumn.!!!!!!!

    The system is broken, there will be no further delays.

  • Retiree
    Retiree3 years ago(Modified)

    "Obviously, the wearing of masks, hand sanitising and social distancing, etc., remain compulsory."

    Well, you might think so, but not in a country like England with an idiot as Prime Minister. Infection numbers projected to reach 100,000 per day? No problem. Feel free to pass the virus on to as many people as possible by using public transport and shopping for food without a mask.

  • cvco
    cvco3 years ago(Modified)

    Normalcy can be tomorrow or never, depending on what a person is willing to accept. The powers of this world are trying to make sure we never return to normalcy and to in fact change the world permanently. If you want normalcy it has to be actively demanded and fought for. Refuse passports, refuse the new world order, refuse the idea that climate change caused the mess. As it is, so many people are sheep and accept anything. That would have been OK when people trusted their honest leaders to do the right thing but though trust has faded almost to nothing, people arent willing to stand up for their lives. This can mean parallel societies, permanent outcasts, apartheid, some people living in cities and some in caves. So what is coming is quite ugly and I suppose smarter people will run for their lives to stay away from becoming robots and slaves. Scope out a place to live in the mountains, learn to farm and fish and raise food, and say goodbye to normal. Its peoples refusal to stand up thats going to create an apocalypse landscape as seen in post-nuclear war movies. And its here.

  • jhgoodwin
    jhgoodwin3 years ago(Modified)

    The political power gained by controlling the masses will not be given up by politicians. First they will try to use this new found power to solve all the problems they created, then all those problems from their solutions. In the end, they will throw up their hands, saying, "At least I tried!" By then, we will all be equally miserable and bankrupt due to their policies.

    The only way to solve this problem is by creating channels of information, then letting people choose the appropriate response for themselves. Just like what was working before. In some countries, deaths by auto is greater than from this disease. Yet there was no major push to lockdown the entire country until everyone went to driver's school. In the USA, death by cancer and heart disease were both higher than this disease. The only guarantee we have about our lives is that we will at some point die. This myopia over one specific problem has made us blind.

  • berry.whitetiger
    berry.whitetiger3 years ago(Modified)

    I'm still getting all-hands on deck from job offers in America. My Texas buddies say wearing mask and, washing your hands isn't required unlike here in Malaysia. I don't think I'd like to go back to an unclean Mexican culture.

  • nz7521137
    nz75211373 years ago(Modified)

    Now that we have learnt that the majority of measures brought upon us (masks, hand sanitizing, outdoor distancing, plastic shields in restaurant) didn't work, what are we doing? Try the same again expecting a different result.

    Didn't someone famous that this is a sign of madness

    . But maybe there are reasons behind this which are hidden from me.

    And this is done in a country that is practically bancrupt and needs to be begging for EU money to stay afloat. It is really sad, because the implemented measures are a killer for tourism and entertainment.

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