COVID-19

Bulletin #87;

Total Cases:            22962      Increase:      390
Total Deaths:              592      Increase:         15
Total Recovered:    13320     Increase:       236
Total Active:              9050      Increase:       139
Total PCR Tests:     109022    Increase:      1847     Day positivity     21.1%

Spread of New Cases:

DN                                  135
Azua                                   4
Barahona                         13
Dajabon                              1
Duarte                                1
La Altagracia                      6
La Romana                        12
La Vega                               2
Pedernales                         1
Peravia                                1
San Cristobal                     15
SPM                                      6
Sanchez Ramirez                1
Santiago                              20
Valverde                               2
Monsenor N                        2
Santo Domingo                 169
Not Specified                       -1

Government 'will tighten measures' due to increase in coronavirus cases due to economy opening

He noted that the increase occurs in the Santo Domingo province, the National District and San Cristóbal

Besides, that was to be expected

https://www.diariolibre.com/actualidad/ … OL19470718

I wonder what they will - or more relevant - CAN do.

Will they delay phase 3? And as a consequence phase 4? I doubt it because of the elections.

Hi Lennox.  Is it possible to show the number of new daily recovered cases?  That would have more meaning as to where we see things improving and where it's getting worse.

Thanks for all your diligence and hard work.

Yes what he does every day in keeping us updated is amazing!

DominicanadaMike wrote:

Hi Lennox.  Is it possible to show the number of new daily recovered cases?  That would have more meaning as to where we see things improving and where it's getting worse.

Thanks for all your diligence and hard work.

Its the third line every day. Total and change.

Next line active cases.

Check out Juan's  daily statistical report which I post later in the day by clicking on the link and see plenty of graphs and trends. He highlights some provincial moves. If you want more go check the daily detailed reports on ministerio de salud facebook site. Or go to http://digepisalud.gob.do/
and find all the daily covid19 bulletins in pdf format.

Find a good current trend and tell us!

Well, for what little consolation it may offer, USA is #12, DR is #83 on the list of cases per capita (sort columns) though that is of little consolation.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

JR

I was looking for the change by area, not the total change.

It would be helpful to see this column with the number of recovered cases beside it.   Otherwise I don't really see much value in this information.  Maybe my area is going crazy or maybe its not...  hard to tell.  That's all...

Spread of New Cases:                              Recovered Cases

DN                                  135                             ?
Azua                                   4                             ?                   
Barahona                         13                            ?
Dajabon                              1                            ?
Duarte                                1                             ?
La Altagracia                      6                            ?
La Romana                        12                           ?
La Vega                               2                            ?
Pedernales                         1                            ?
Peravia                                1                            ?
San Cristobal                     15                          ?
SPM                                      6                           ?
Sanchez Ramirez                1                          ?
Santiago                              20                         ?
Valverde                               2                          ?
Monsenor N                        2                          ?
Santo Domingo                 169                       ?
Not Specified                       -1                        ?
Thanks.

Thanks,

Well all I can suggest is going to the source in the graphs that Lennox posted the.link for and look up your area honey. 

What is being done by Lennox is amazing.

Actually what would be more useful is to work out the number of new cases based on the reported active cases in that region and in relation to testing rates per 100k population.

For example in La Altagracia, the 20 new cases in bulletin #86 came from 225 active cases and yesterday 6 from 229 but only 31 tests were carried out. A another example is independencia which had 25 new cases in #86 from 43 reported active cases. Semana has only had 266 tests despite a population over 100k and keeps getting a drip feed of new cases from the 31 reported active cases. is it a fair reflection? Doubt it. All this information can be extracted from the daily reports but is is time consuming and so I focus on the headlines including spread of new cases because they are generated from active cases and identify spread trends.

More than 70% of ICU beds in public centers occupied by Covid-19 patients in Santo Domingo, according to SNS director

https://listindiario.com/la-republica/2 … rector-sns

All the indicators point to a serious problem about to unfold in DR after Phase 1 reopening with reduced social distancing, and the ICU problem reported this morning is just another confirmation of that.

Bulletin #88;

Total New Cases:            23271       Increase:     309
Total Deaths:                       605       Increase:        13
Recovered:                      14025       Increase:      705
Total Active:                      8641        Decrease:    409
Total PCR Tests:             110781      Increase:    1759     Day positivity        17.6%

Spread of New Cases:

DN                                          75
Azua                                        4   
Barahona                                1
Espaillat                                  7
Independencia                      1
La Altagracia                          9
La Romana                            14
La Vega                                   12
Maria TS                                  3
Puerto Plata                           1
Hermanas M                         2
San Cristobal                         7
SPM                                        4
Santiago                                12
Valverde                                24
Monsenor N                           1
Monte Plata                            1
Santo Domingo                    125
Not specified                          6

About 450 of the recovered cases were in SD greater including SC. La Altagracia had 9 new cases and 9 recovered. Valverde had 8 recovered and 24 new cases. Santiago had 25 recovered but 12 new cases.La Roman 14 new cases, 10 recovered.

The lack of consistent levels of testing is the big problem with no clear picture other than continuing spread. Dr needs 5000 tests a day everyday and we will probably see 1000 plus cases. Tomorrow Tuesday is normally low test day so low headline number just in time to move to Phase 3.

hi
so nothing published for Samana

Thanks Lennox,

That was a big help.  Living in La Altagracia, I could note that there was no significant change.  nine in, nine out...

Very helpful.

ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO DE LA EVOLUCIÓN
DEL COVID-19 EN LA REPÚBLICA DOMINICANA  INFORME #75

https://drive.google.com/file/d/16_qjHH … -tjSC/view

If no report... nothing gets posted.... MTSanchez is the same
zero reported some days.... sparse testing at times

Dexamethasone is first life-saving coronavirus drug

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53061281

This is interesting!   I took this when recovering from chikungunya 5 years ago.   It's inexpensive and limited side effects with short term use.  And it's widely available.

Bulletin #88:

Total Cases:             23686      Increase:    415
Total Deaths                615      Increase:       10
Total Recovered      14133     Increase:      108
Total Active:               8938      Increase:     297
Total PCR Tests:      112603    Increase:    1822      Day positivity    22.8%

Spread of New Cases: 

DN                                 108
Azua                                 11
Barahona                        31
Duarte                              1
Espaillat                            4
La Altagracia                    3
La Romana                       2
La Vega                            10
Pedernales                        1
Puerto Plata                      2
Hermanas M                     2
San Cristobal                    40
San Juan                             6
SPM                                    7
Sanchez Ramirez             5
Santiago                            10
Monsenor N                      1
Monte Plata                       1
Santo Domingo               143
Not Specified                     27

lennoxnev wrote:

Dexamethasone is first life-saving coronavirus drug

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53061281

for the more advanced cases.... needing ventilator support
seems to be a terrific drug in reducing deaths by 20 & 30 %

Nothing for the run of the mill sickness.....
who do not need breathing assistance

Big increase for a Tuesday!

Committee to combat and prevent coronavirus recommends the Government not to go to phase III

https://www.diariolibre.com/actualidad/ … PP19521439

The Committee on Emergency and Health Management for the Fight and Prevention of Coronavirus recommended this Tuesday to the Government not to start phase III of the economic and labor de-escalation in the country, as it was scheduled for tomorrow Wednesday.

Significant move and based on health grounds they are correct. Country is descending into a crisis with hotel bed occupancy and ICU occupancy and deaths now increasing. More control on social distancing is needed in all it's forms imo.

But will politics prevail?  No flights 1st July? No hotel openings too? Doesn't stop elections.

Having this morning received addressed personal emails from both the French & British embassies in Santo Domingo both stating there will no further repatriation flights as they were recently advised by IDAC that the skies will re open with commercial flights planned to start  early July.

Does any one know what is going on? because I sure don't know.  This sounds like a real political football.


Ducketts

Montalvo: The country does not enter Phase III for now

They will tighten measures to avoid contagion, such as compliance with the curfew, mandatory use of a mask and even the closing of businesses

The president of the High-Level Commission for the Prevention and Control of Coronavirus, Gustavo Montalvo , announced on Tuesday night that at this time there are no conditions to go to Phase III of the economic and labor de-escalation that the Government is executing, at least until next week.

He said that the behavior shown shows that Dominicans lost their fear of COVID-19, which is why they made the decision and will now be more drastic with the measures taken against the spread of the virus.

Montalvo reported that due to the situation, the Government will toughen measures to avoid contagion and cited compliance with the curfew, mandatory use of a mask and even the closing of businesses . The third phase was scheduled to start tomorrow Wednesday, but due to the significant increase in the number of cases per day, they decided not to take risks.

No start of Phase 4 now until after elections on 5th July.

Government follows plan to open tourism on July 1, but with conditions

Gustavo Montalvo said that it will depend on the "evolution of health indicators and compliance with protocols"

Despite the fact that the government did not authorize the passage to Phase III of the economic and labor de-escalation that it applies to regain normalcy after the country's closure by COVID-19 , it maintains plans to open the tourism sector on July 1, as It planned.

This was announced on Tuesday night by Gustavo Montalvo , Minister of the Presidency and President of the High-Level Commission for the Prevention and Control of Coronavirus.

However, the opening of this sector, long awaited by tourism entrepreneurs, will be conditioned to the evolution of health indicators and compliance with protocols, the official stressed. Those measures, he said, will be delivered this Tuesday to the sector.

I would love to see those requirements of the tourism sector!

Ducketts it sounds like you should get a flight soon!

ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO DE LA EVOLUCIÓN
DEL COVID-19 EN LA REPÚBLICA DOMINICANA  INFORME #76

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1WaS-XL … MyOT9/view

I think we could apply this argument to the DR
about why the US is not reducing the cases as quickly as Europe did
----------------------------------------------------------------------


European countries have used a combination of lockdowns, public health guidance, tests and contact tracing to beat back the virus. Large parts of Europe have begun reopening, including schools, so far without sparking major new outbreaks.

The U.S. response has been more scattered and less successful. “Government efforts to inform the public about the pandemic have been a colossal failure, which means that most people are hearing mixed and muffled messages about what to do,” Jonathan Bernstein, a political scientist and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, wrote this week. “It’s not surprising that a lot of folks are believing misinformation as a result, and others are just throwing up their hands.”

Donald McNeil, who covers infectious diseases for The Times, points out that the U.S. states hit hardest and earliest by the virus, like New York and New Jersey, have followed a path similar to Europe’s: a terrible peak, followed by an aggressive response and falling caseloads.

“But I think a lot of states reopened pretty willy-nilly after pressure from small businesses and citizens who were out of work and frustrated by lockdown and who had not seen the virus hit anyone they knew yet,” Donald told us. “A lot of those states — Texas, Florida, Arizona, North and South Carolina, etc. — are now seeing cases and hospitalizations rise.”

Yes I think much of that is applicable here.   

Lack of enforcement means the rules don't apply.

If anyone goes to the beach then everyone thinks they should be able to. 

If this politico has his rally then why can't I play dominos?

If this person can walk around without a mask then why can't I?

The govt claims there will be a crackdown.  Let's see!

Bulletin #90:

Confirmed Cases:          24105      Increase:     419
Total Deaths                       633      Increase:        18
Total Recovered             14216     Increase:        83
Total Active:                       9256     Increase:      318
Total PCR Tests:            114535     Increase:      1932    Day positivity   21.7%

Spread of New Cases:

DN                        135
Azua                       10
Duarte                     1
Espaillat                  3
Independencia      1
La Altagracia         10
La Romana             8
La Vega                   29
Peravia                    2
Puerto Plata           7
Samana                   1
San Cristobal         18
SPM                          1
Sanchez Ramirez    2
Santiago                  37
Valverde                   3
Monsenor N             2
Hato Mayor              1
Santo Domingo      151
Not Specified           -3

Now seeing reports of hospitals at capacity and treating  possible Covid patients in parking lots.  Not good at all.

These are the sectors that Public Health will intervene this Wednesday

VILLA JUANA, CAPOTILLO, AGRICULTURAL VILLAS AND SIMÓN BOLIVAR, LOS RIOS, ALCARRIZOS, LA ZURZA AND OTHERS

https://listindiario.com/la-republica/2 … -miercoles

Lots of cases perhaps with people apparently infected staying at home and they are trying to root them out in various sectors this week

The parking lot treatment is Pedro Brand which is where autopiste Duarte enters the city.

San Juan prison has an outbreak.

Dajabon municipal building is being closed due to an outbreak, yet Dajabon shows  only 4 active case from 70 tests.

The country has a big problem yet some political leaders say it is fabricated. The biggest problem is lack of testing having opened up far to early and quickly, and now buses are transporting people all around the country.

And they want to let tourists come from worse infected countries in a couple of weeks!

That pretty much wraps it up nicely.   So much more going on we do not know about.

Buses

I had a shipment to day coming from SD to Cabrera
2pm bus - Caribe Tours

The driver was there at noon.... the lines were so long
that he missed getting it on the 2pm bus

There must be a lot of passengers

ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO DE LA EVOLUCIÓN
DEL COVID-19 EN LA REPÚBLICA DOMINICANA INFORME #77

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1okL8wJ … pHWm8/view

Willie I am not sure there are a lot or passengers rather they are very short staffed.  They have called in less than half their stuff due to the phase they are in.  Lots more packages to deliver, far fewer staff and way less buses being sent out.

A friend took caribe yesterday and the bus was at 30% capacity, it was not clean, everyone with masks but little social distancing at the terminal.

I had to buy office chairs at Ikea.  Everyone in masks.  Decent social distancing until you got past the checkouts. Customer service has 1 staff person and a line of 20 people.

Pickup of merchandise was backed all up.  At least 25 groups waiting for items. I waited 50 minutes for my chairs. Again 1 staff person because they can only work on limited numbers due to phase restrictions.  And yet it's backed all up.  Not well thought out.

I hope you're right
I'd hate to see an exodus of the Sto Dom sick

Did you notice Bejing stopped all from leaving the city !??

Bulletin #91:

Total New Cases:      24645        Increase:    540
Total Deaths:                 635        Increase:         2
Total Recovered:       14293        Increase:       77
Total Active:                 9717        Increase:     461
Total PCR Tests:        117119      Increase:   2584      Day positivity      20.9%

Spread of New Cases:

DN                                     161
Azua                                      8
Dajabon                               2
Duarte                                  3
La Altagracia                        9
La Romana                          16
La Vega                                15
Maria TS                               5
Monte Cristi                        3
Peravia                                 7
Puerto Plata                        1
Hermanas M                       1
San Cristobal                      23
San Juan                              23
SPM                                      6
Sanchez Ramirez                1
Santiago                              11
Santiago R                            1
Monsenor N                         2
Santo Domingo                  244
Not Specified                        -2

WillieWeb wrote:

I hope you're right
I'd hate to see an exodus of the Sto Dom sick

Did you notice Bejing stopped all from leaving the city !??

Don't kid yourself that the virus is only concentrated in the capital.

It is everywhere and there is more focus and testing taking place in SD that the numbers remain high daily. The level of testing in many provinces is very low.

It seems to be that everywhere people with symptoms are so paranoid that their family conceals them at home and that is why transmissions keep showing up all around the country with littele explanation and no tracking happening.

It is very hard now to control the further spread and whilst there is very good compliance of use of masks and social distancing in many parts of the capital, issues such as reported by planner above create problems. From what I saw at the weekend travelling ino the campo north of the city, mask use drops in the campo significantly but social distancing isn't that bad. The big problem is mobility. Far too many people travelling and that spreads the virus. I foresee some lock downs such as travel restrictions after the elections again.

I am hearing many stories of people  being sick and being afraid to go to hospital.

In addition is hiding the news when someone is sick and diagnosed,  no one tells anyone else. Case in point of Dominican married to foreign woman. He spent  3 weeks in hospital battling Covid and she continued life as normal. no one knew what was going on.

Lennox....
what you say may be true....

But facing facts.....
the larger areas of populations will have the most cases

I understand the % argument and accept it

I still maintain that the rules are harder to apply (and to comply with) in the larger areas... SD. STI, and others

I expect the smaller communities to deal with - perhaps in their own way - but more/less effectively

Planner
Yes - they hide/disguise it
add to that the inability to pay in some cases

By nature , this culture has some secrecy about it... as I see it