COVID-19
Last activity 21 June 2022 by ducketts
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Not going in the right direction and we will not see that for some weeks yet!
Not necessarily Willie many tests for reporting were lumped into that figure.
Bulletin #127
Total confirmed cases 59077 Increase 1462 2nd highest
Total deaths 1036 Increase 30 Record
Total recovered 27625 Increase 720
Total active 30416 Increase 712
Total tests 230654 Increase 3961 day poitivity 36.9%
Spread of new cases
DN 617
Azua 15
Barahona 57
Duarte 18
Elias Pina 2
El Seibo 2
Espaillat 4
Independencia 2
La Altagracia 43
La Romana 24
La Vega 51
Maria TS 21
Monte Cristi 1
Peravia 15
Puerto Plata 25
Hermanas M 1
Samana 2
San Critobal 33
San Juan 81
SPM 27
Sanchez Ramirez 32
Santiago 97
Santiago R 1
Valverde 1
Monsenor N 24
Monte Plata 2
Hato Mayor 1
Santo Domingo 279
Not Specified -16
96% of covid-19 beds in the country are occupied
There are 252 patients in Intensive Care Units
https://listindiario.com/la-republica/2 … do-el-pais
Beds for coronavirus patients continue to run out in the country, with 96% occupied, according to bulletin # 127 of the Ministry of Public Health.
For this Friday, 1,438 patients are hospitalized, of which 252 are in Intensive Care Units , representing 69.23% of ICU occupancy.
Of the critically ill patients, 115 are under ventilation, equivalent to 45.6% of the availability of ventilators.
The number of deaths caused by the pandemic in the last 24 hours is 30 even cumulative of 1,036.
Continues to be out of control. AND from current measures we will not see slow down for another two to three weeks yet!
Because this is the result of the election crowds....
the damage has been done - how bad it is is yet to be revealed
Out of our control for sure
And the 9 days before the election! And no lockdown or change until tuesday of this week! Watch the numbers increase!
Cruz Jiminián says Public Health must force medical centers to have an emergency only for Covid-19 patients
Jiminián assured that in the emergency of his clinic "there are serious patients that there is nowhere to take them to hospital, since there are no beds available."
https://listindiario.com/la-republica/2 … s-covid-19
Basically we are at the point at which other patients with serious problems may go untreated because of covid19 or get infected if they go to clinics.
The collateral effect of more deaths resulting from covi19 - more suffering.
It isnt just about Covid, its about the overall effect on the health care system. Its far reaching. For example in many places we now have too few doctors and nurses available because they have Covid! Means a deterioration in health care services!
Incredible increase today, waiting on Lennox to post his review! This is scary - I know I keep saying it - but this is how it feels!
Bulletin #128
Total confirmed cases 60896 Increase 1819 new record
Total deaths 1055 Increase 19
Total recovered 27980 Increase 355
Total active 31861 Increase 1445
Total tests 235289 Increase 4635 day positivity 39.3%
Spread of new cases
DN 468
Azua 57
Baoruco 5
Barahona 20
Dajabon 30
Duarte 15
Elias Pina 3
Espaillat 4
Independencia 1
La Altagracia 111
La Romana 97
La Vega 53
Maria TS 18
Peravia 40
Puerto Plata 12
Samana 4
San Cristobal 111
San Juan 68
SPM 29
Sanchez Ramirez 29
Santiago 117
Valverde 114
Monsenor N 11
Monte Plata 17
San Jose 4
Santo Domingo 232
Not Specified 149
The active total is growing rapidly along with the high positivity which together are bad omens.
Unfortunately the East Coast/LR is recording large numbers consistently now and the active numbers are growing.
Interesting to see the large total for Valverde (Mao is the main town) today - last weekend the city council closed all parks and public plces stating there was a big problem there and 7 days later we see it.
ANÁLISIS ESTADÍSTICO DE LA EVOLUCIÓN DEL
VIRUS EN LA REPÚBLICA DOMINICANA INFORME #105
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1TUXbRE … jX4fC/view
Note some of the positivities in todays figures:
La Altagracia 56%
La Romana 54%
POP 20%
Valverde 69%
DN 31%
San Cristobal 54%
SPM 35%
Bulletin #129
Total confirmed cases 62908 Increase 2012 New daily record
Total deaths 1063 Increase 8
Total recovered 28603 Increase 623
Total active 33242 Increase 1381
Total tests 240776 Increase 5487 Day positivity 36.7%
Spread of new cases in detail
DN 528
Azua 72
Barahona 1
Duarte 35
Espaillat 158
La Altagracia 213
La Romana 23
La Vega 87
Maria TS 19
Monte Cristi 3
Peravia 26
Puerto Plata 24
Samana 11
San Cristobal 21
San Juan 25
SPM 28
Sanchez Ramirez 22
Santiago 229
Valverde 4
Monsenor N 18
San Jose 1
Santo Domingo 317
Not Specified 147
More tests and more cases as expected because the positivity remains very high, which tells us the problem is deeply spread in the population nationally.
The steady high numbers in La Altagracia now makes one question if imported cases and transmission to locals is now in play. The testing levels in Puerto Plata and Samana remain very low but the cases in those tourist zones creep ever upward.
Goodness, since we left left a week ago new cases have more than doubled. Deeply disturbing.
Wow, not good and getting worse.
Again thank you for doing this every single day. SO many rely on this synopsis daily! We really appreciate you!
The underlying problem is that the virus is out and about everywhere in the country and with such high positivities if you double the tests you will double the new cases.
The active case number is growing rapidly and that in turn means more people transmitting.
We are seeing the new and active cases graphs head upwards more vertically.
And the only real control we have is a nightime curfew, masks and voluntary social distancing. That benefit is probably being off set by imported cases now.
There is no easy solution to an ever worsening scenario everywhere in DR. The active cases and positivity has to be reduced. You do that by enforced social distancing, reducing mobility and eliminating imported cases. Keeping economic activity moving but reducing spread like we have now would be a severe challenge for a disciplined nation.
With a 30 plus positivity rating, is it correct to assume there are probably more like 3 to 4 million active cases in the DR?
It looks like the trend.
I think the usual assumption is ten times cases. But who the heck actually knows. I just assume everyone has it.
DominicanadaMike wrote:With a 30 plus positivity rating, is it correct to assume there are probably more like 3 to 4 million active cases in the DR?
It looks like the trend.
I wouldn't go as far as that. The idea being that if you have 30% positivity, 100 people infected one day could become 130 tomorrow but it all depends on contact to spread and interractions. Unfortunately in DR one infected could easily transmit to many more because of the lack of understanding of social distancing and the intimacy of the people.
IMO, there could be 3 times more active cases out there now and with each case spreading to others with little control. 100k ish today, more tomorrow because of daily uncontrolled transmission.
Reason I say this is that panic sets in with locals when there are plenty of people showing symtoms in a community and they publicly call for help. This has happened in Azua, Mao, Higuey, La Romana, SPM, Barahona, Monte Cristi San Cristobal, SPM, Santiago and barrios in the capital recently. And right now also we have panic with people trying to get tested and hospitals filling up and a chaotic hospital situation. The worst is yet to come and if we had many more infected the situation would be unsustainable already.
Think everybody as being infected, when the reality it is more like 1 in every 150ish in towns and cities now but getting worse. You won't get it if you do socially distance and use the recommeded measures when out an about.
Sorry Lennox your first paragraph is not how I understand this.
30% positivity means 30% of all tested are positive. The R factor is what you were referring to.
As for how many are actually infected - anyone's guess at this point.
You are right about the panic setting in. It appears those who ignore the recommendations scream the loudest when reality sets in.
We are seeing both a total disregard to the rules and people panicking as barrios case counts rise, lines increase for testing and hospitals fill up.
Over the weekend there were many issues with the 5 pm curfew. Lots of father's day gatherings across the country so watch for the spike in 2 weeks
Do what you can and please stay safe.
Correct planner. I was trying to make the point that Dominicans will transmit between one another because of their intimacy and lack of social distancing.
We dont know the R value that exists here but it is now high as indicated by test positivity levels.
It is now the expected that case numbers daily will be the thousands rather than hundreds so the virus is spreading faster now amongst the population.
And as you mention people in cities and towns have not been respecting the curfew and gatherings.
It will be a long haul.
"The study also showed that a lockdown seemed to significantly increase the proportion of patients who recovered, despite its key finding that it did not reduce deaths. "
"Restricting movements and closing borders also had no significant impact on Covid-19 fatalities, even if early border closures appeared to significantly lower cases and lessen the peak of transmission, preventing hospitals from being overwhelmed. "
"Banning mass gatherings, along with closing schools and some non-essential businesses, particularly in the hospitality sector, were the most effective ways at stopping the spread of the disease, the researchers found."
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl … laims.html
Absolutely agree. The differences in concern are staggering from it's a hoax, to I am young, to what virus, to God will protect me, to I am healthy, to it's no big deal.
Until of course it is.
Then in the barrios neighbors turn on neighbors. Everyone is competing for tests, medical care, hospital beds and soon ventilators!
It will be a long haul.
Given, we don't really have a clear handle on where the testing is being done, hopefully all over the DR but probably isolated, and given that tests have been repeatedly above the 30% positive mark, I prefer to assume that there is enough of a trend to indicate that 30% plus of the population is infected.
Don't you think that if people think that way (30% of the pop), then they may start taking this more seriously? If it's closer to the numbers they are reporting 60K cases, almost 1/2 recovered, that is why so many people (mainly Dominicans) are not taking it seriously and why they think it's just another flu bug. Dominicans are stubborn enough to think that it won't happen to them and are willing to take the chance. Dominicans typically live for today and don't think about tomorrow... hence the reason for so many parties and social gatherings.
I have to say in Bavaro Punta Cana area, from my experience, people are generally following the rules, especially if you are out at the grocery stores, drug stores etc. Yes, there is always a few in the crowd without brain cells but generally its pretty good.
Assuming 30% are infected is likely on track. I just assume they all are!
Bulletin #130
Total confirmed cases 64156 Increase 1248
Total deaths 1083 Increase 20
Total recovered 30204 Increase 1601
Total active 32869 Decrease 373
Total tests 244643 Increase 3867 Day positivity 32.3%
Spread of new cases
DN 309
Azua 2
Barahona 16
Duarte 27
Espaillat 4
La Altagracia 81
La Romana 29
La Vega 36
Maria TS 21
Monte Cristi 1
Peravia 42
Puerto Plata 20
Hermanas M 2
Samana 2
San Cristobal 26
San Juan 14
SPM 28
Sanchez Ramirez 67
Santiago 244
Santiago R 1
Valverde 1
Monsenor N 60
Hato Mayor 3
Santo Domingo 213
Not Specified -1
58% now outside Santo Domingo
Saw the same thing in the area Dominicanada Mike when I visited few weeks ago.
Until it effects enough people in physical way, majority will continue what they are doing and not take it seriously. With testing limited towhat it is, you know it is at higher % in the population.
Here’s what we know so far about the long-term symptoms of COVID-19
https://theconversation.com/heres-what- … -19-142722
Increasing evidence of the long term effects of the virus on health even for mild cases.
Risk of dying in ICU exceeds 60 percent
https://listindiario.com/la-republica/2 … por-ciento
Avoid UCI in DR.
The article in Conversation is very disturbing.
As countries try to wrestle with this virus other groups are desperately trying to get a vaccine out. But we all know it will then will take another year and then one still questions the validity of any vaccine as any which become available will have been in record time.
https://eldia.com.do/covid-19-pone-a-ta … desbordan/
Medical and hospital system is collapsing. Chaos reigns now. Expectations of deterioration. Trying to improvise with hospitals full and ICU near capacity. Some hospitals not accepting other patients than covid19.
Bulletin #131 Typical Tuesday day of less testing
Total new cases 64690 Increase 534
Total deaths 1101 Increase 18
Total recovered 32014 Increase 1810
Total active 31575 Decrease 1294
Total tests 246953 Increase 2310 day positivity 23.1%
Spread of new cases
DN 126
Azua 16
Barahona 2
Duarte 17
Espaillat 4
La Altagracia 71
La Romana 18
La Vega 26
Maria TS 18
Peravia 27
Puerto Plata 24
Samana -62 correction for a past very high number?
San Cristobal 12
San Juan 4
SPM 13
Sanchez Ramirez 20
Santiago 56
Valverde 1
Monsenor N 7
Santo Domingo 83
Not Specified 51
These figures are all over the place and therefore not credible.
Surely Abinader must get a grip now-I know he doesn't take over till the 16 August but he if doesn't instigate real controls now things can only get worse.
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